Rolluptherimtowin

... or 'Roll up the rim to win.'

If you're a Canadian, you probably know what that means (OK, some Americans know also). There's a very prosperous coffee/doughnut shop chain in Canada (and some US states) by the name of Tim Horton's. For all you hockey fans, you might remember Tim as a hockey player in the 60's-70's. Anyway, this isn't about sports this is about Rolluptherimtowin. It's a promotion which they run every year since 1986.

They have specially marked paper cups which you get when you order a coffee or hot chocolate or other hot beverage. After drinking the great tasting coffee, you roll up the rim of the cup to see if you have won anything. It's better to do this after you finish drinking the coffee, otherwise, in the excitement of possibly winning something, you could burn yourself on the HOT coffee (... and I'm not speaking from experience). Anyway, I've been keeping track of my 'stats' regarding how many cups I've purchased and how many winnings I have had since about 1999. Unfortunately, at press time, I was only able to find my stats for 2000, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007 (when and IF I find the missing years I'll add them - I'm a packrat so they have to be around somewhere). Some of the analysis is shown below. For more information on this promotion or the Tim Horton's chain, please click rolluptherimtowin

One last thing, for those of you who think I drink to much coffee. It's what I affectionately call 'what's the point coffee.' It's decaf.

Total cups purchased versus winning cups
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016
Total cups purchased	70	116	128	233	35	31	2	1	4	36	6	0	0	1	29
total winners	13	11	12	27	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
Percent of winners	18.57%	9.48%	9.38%	#####	2.86%	12.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	8.33%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	17.24%
Information is current as of the end of the 2007 promotion.

What have I won over the years? Well, here's the list. I think you will agree that I have the winning and losing down pretty good. You will probably also agree that there is a significant absence of big ticket items on the winning list. I think it's time for the 'big win'!!!

Record of winners
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Total	Item Percent of Total
Coffee	4	1	1	3	0	4	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	21	53.85%
Cookie	1	3	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	28.21%
Doughnut	1	1	5	18	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	28	71.79%
Muffin	2	6	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	33.33%
Bagel	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	12.82%
Total	13	11	12	27	1	4	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5	78	100.00%
Annual Percent of Total	16.67%	14.10%	15.38%	34.62%	1.28%	5.13%	2.56%	0.00%	0.00%	3.85%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.41%	100.00%




The following two tables break down my purchases and winnings between morning and afternoon. I wanted to get a sense of whether I win more often with morning purchases or afternoon purchases. As can be seen, I purchased more coffee in the morning (76.3%) and won more often with morning purchases (76.7%). Coincidence? You be the judge.
Purchased in AM/PM
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Total	Percent
AM	70	116	111	120	24	27	0	0	0	10	2	2	0	1	14	497	71.61%
PM	0	0	17	113	11	4	2	0	1	26	4	4	0	0	15	197	28.39%
Total	70	116	128	233	35	31	2	0	1	36	6	6	0	1	29	694	100.00%


Winners in AM/PM
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Total	Percent
AM	13	16	11	13	1	2									1	56	76.70%
PM	0	0	1	14	0	2									4	17	23.30%
Total	13	16	12	27	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	73	100.00%


I also wanted to know if I won more according to the cup size of my purchase. The following two tables represent the total number of cups of each size and the percentage of winners by each size. Again, I won 97.7% of the time with Large cups which represented 93.0% of my purchases. (I did not track the cup size until 2004 and, if I'm not mistaken, the Small cup is not part of Rolluptherimtowin)
Purchased by Size
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Total	Percent
Small	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0.00%
Medium	N/A	N/A	0	4	11	10	N/A	N?A	3	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	1	29	58	11.46%
Large	N/A	N/A	128	227	21	21	2	1	1	35	6	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	442	87.35%
Extra Large	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	1	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	6	1.19%
Total	0	0	128	233	35	31	2	1	4	36	6	0	0	1	29	506	100.00%


Winners by Size
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Total	Percent
Small	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	0										0	0.00%
Medium	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	0									5	1	2.30%
Large	N/A	N/A	12	26	1	4										43	97.70%
Extra Large	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	0										0	0.00%
Total	0	0	12	27	1	4										44	100.00%


The following table was just a whim to see how many days it took from my first purchase to the time of my first winner.
Length of time from first purchase to first win
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Average
Date of First Purchase	06-Mar-00	25-Feb-02	04-Mar-04	28-Feb-05	27-Feb-06	05-Mar-07	N/A	N/A	N/A	21-Feb-11	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	16-Feb-16
Date of First Win	06-Mar-00	25-Feb-02	05-Mar-04	01-Mar-05	03-Mar-06	20-Mar-07	N/A	N/A	N/A	24-Feb-11	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	18-Feb-16
Number of days difference	0	0	1	1	4	15				3					2	4.3





I wanted to see how my spending habits changed from year to year on a daily basis. Did I purchase more coffee on March 1 (or any other day for that matter) from one year to the next or am I a creature of habit.
Frequency Distribution
How many purchases per day
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Average
Feb-25		4						1
Feb-26		4
Feb-27		4			1
Feb-28	2	3		5	2
Feb-29	2
Mar-01	2	3	2	4	3
Mar-02	2		1	4	2
Mar-03	2		1	6	3
Mar-04		4	4	3
Mar-05		3	4	1		1
Mar-06	2	3		2	2	2
Mar-07	2	3		7		1
Mar-08	2	3	3	6		2
Mar-09	2		2	7	1	1
Mar-10	2		2	5
Mar-11		2	5	6	1
Mar-12		3	4	1		1
Mar-13	2	3		1
Mar-14	2	3		7
Mar-15	1	3		8	1	1
Mar-16	1	1	2	8	1	2
Mar-17	1	1	1	9
Mar-18		3	2	6
Mar-19		4	1	1
Mar-20	1	3	1	1		2			1
Mar-21	2	3		8		1
Mar-22	2	1	4	5	1	1
Mar-23	2	1	4	7	1	1			1
Mar-24	1	1	5	8
Mar-25	3	3	4	1
Mar-26		4	5	1		2	1		1
Mar-27	1	2	1	1	1		1
Mar-28		4	1	8	1	1
Mar-29			3	8		1
Mar-30	2		4	8	3	1
Mar-31	2		3	8	3
Apr-01		3	6	6
Apr-02	1	3	1	1
Apr-03	2	2	1	1	2	1
Apr-04	1	4	1	8	3	1
Apr-05	2		1	5	2	1
Apr-06		1	4	7	1
Apr-07	2		5	6
Apr-08	1	3	2	5					1
Apr-09		2				2
Apr-10	2	5				2
Apr-11	2	4	1	7		1
Apr-12	2	3	5	7		1
Apr-13	2		4	7		1
Apr-14	2	1	2	8
Apr-15		1	3	3
Apr-16		3	4
Apr-17	2		1	1
Apr-18	1		1
Apr-19	2		4
Apr-20			1
Apr-21	3	2	3
Apr-22			4
Apr-23			5
Apr-24
Apr-25
Apr-26
Apr-27
Apr-28
Apr-29
Apr-30
Total	70	116	128	233	35	31

Frequency Distribution
How many winners per day
	2000	2002	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	Average
Feb-25		3
Feb-26
Feb-27
Feb-28
Feb-29
Mar-01				1	1
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04				1
Mar-05			1
Mar-06	1
Mar-07	1	1		1
Mar-08		1
Mar-09	1
Mar-10			1
Mar-11		1		1
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14	2			4
Mar-15				2
Mar-16	1			2
Mar-17				1
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20						1
Mar-21	1			1
Mar-22				1
Mar-23	1			1
Mar-24			1	1
Mar-25
Mar-26			2
Mar-27		1
Mar-28			1			1
Mar-29			1
Mar-30			1	1		1
Mar-31			1
Apr-01				1
Apr-02
Apr-03	2
Apr-04				1
Apr-05
Apr-06
Apr-07	2			2
Apr-08			1
Apr-09		1				1
Apr-10
Apr-11		1		1
Apr-12		1		2
Apr-13				1
Apr-14			1	1
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19	1		1
Apr-20
Apr-21		1
Apr-22
Apr-23
Apr-24
Apr-25
Apr-26
Apr-27
Apr-28
Apr-29
Apr-30
Total	13	11	12	27	1	4